Real-time extreme weather event attribution with forecast seasonal SSTs
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Weather Derivatives and Seasonal Forecast
The purpose of this paper is to incorporate the CPC (Climate Prediction Center) seasonal forecast in the temperature process so that conditional means and conditional variances of both the temperature and the CDD (Cooling Degree Day) may be redetermined in accordance with the seasonal forecasting probabilities. Under the Gaussian property of the underlying process, the prices of the CDD options...
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The extent to which a given extreme weather or climate event is attributable to anthropogenic climate change is a question of considerable public interest. From a scientific perspective, the question can be framed in various ways, and the answer depends very much on the framing. One such framing is a risk-based approach, which answers the question probabilistically, in terms of a change in like...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Environmental Research Letters
سال: 2016
ISSN: 1748-9326
DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/6/064006